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Prediction for CME (2021-06-29T10:53:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2021-06-29T10:53ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/17173/-1 CME Note: This CME is associated with an eruption and subsequent EUV wave observed from the unnumbered active region centered near N20E05 on the Earth-facing disk starting around 2021-06-29T05:00Z as seen in SDO AIA 171/193. CME ARRIVAL NOTE: There was no arrival detected by DSCOVR/ACE data. CME was not detected at Earth. Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: ---- Predicted Arrival Time: 2021-07-03T08:00Z (-6.0h, +6.0h) Confidence that the CME will arrive: 70.0% Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0 Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office) Prediction Method Note: Met Office ENLIL settings. ENLIL version: 2.7 Resolution: medium-res (512x60x180) (X1=0.1-1.7/uniform X2=30.-150./uniform X3=0.-360./uniform) Ambient settings: a3b2-sa1 WSA version: 2.2 Please specify following CME input parameters. Time at 21.5Rs boundary: Radial velocity (km/s): Longitude (deg): Latitude (deg): Half-angular width (deg): Notes: Space weather advisor:Lead Time: 73.00 hour(s) Difference: ----- Prediction submitted by Met Office (Met Office) on 2021-06-30T07:00Z |
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